Saturday Weather 10-9-21
VICTORIA, Texas-: Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average. Low: 72 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday: Partly sunny skies with moderate to breezy winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 91 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph increasing to 15-20 mph with 25 mph gusts. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday Night: Clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. Low: 74 degrees. Winds: SE 10-20 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Monday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 90 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph. A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1 pm.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Extended Forecast: Tuesday through Sunday:
Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with moderate breezy winds while temperatures stay slightly above average. High: 91/75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-20/G25 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate breezy winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 90/74 degrees. Winds: SE 15-20/G25 mph. A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 90/71 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 87/65 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below above average. High: 76/55 degrees. Winds: N 15 mph. A 40% chance of early scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 76/53 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Synopsis: High pressure continues to sit over South Texas on Saturday which will result in mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures. The high-pressure system will move off to the east and into the western Gulf of Mexico on Sunday as a trough moves into the Texas Panhandle.
Low-pressure forming over the southern high plains, will allow for low-level air flow to move in from the south. Increasing winds (30-35 mph winds in the higher levels) for South Texas from out of the south (due to the low in the plains) on Saturday night will bring in more moisture (low-level moisture) and clouds Saturday night into Sunday morning.
The breezy conditions that can be expected over the Coastal Bend will help diminish the cloud cover by Sunday afternoon (atmospheric air pressure will change over short distances allowing for stronger winds). Airflow out of the southwest in the lower levels (850 mb level) of the atmosphere will keep humidity levels and warmer air moving into South Texas. This movement can keep temperatures (Heat Index Temperatures) around 105-109 degrees across most of South Texas on Sunday. Areas south of Port Aransas could see tides on the higher side (2-3 feet above sea level) as winds push in from the south. We will keep an eye out for advisory criteria.
In the long term for the extended period, days 3 to 7, Sunday night through Friday, a trough tracking across the plains will push a cold front through Texas Sunday night into Monday.
There will be abundant moisture ahead of the front, the push to the southeast (into air heated from the sun) will create enough lift for isolated to scattered showers mostly over the Victoria Crossroads where moisture will be most abundant, and lift will be the strongest.
Further north of the Crossroads there is a better chance for stronger and more severe storms across Eastern Texas in the area closer to the cold front where weather dynamics are most favorable. There is a chance that this weather scenario does move further south bringing showers and thunderstorms to South Texas on Monday.
The additional moisture (warm and humid conditions) combined with abundant sunshine will push heat indices into the 105-109 degrees range Monday through Wednesday. Then add in high pressure building into South Texas on Tuesday, and some spots could lead to a Heat Advisory (mostly inland areas) as heat indices could reach 110 degrees in some spots.
By Wednesday, another trough will move through the Rocky Mountains and plains states bringing another cold front through Texas, but the front should stall and stay to the north of South Texas. The sun’s energy could heat up the area to the south of the front, thus bringing showers to South Texas.
Storms in the Pacific have a way to go to cross Mexico and affect the weather here in South Texas but that could be the case by Wednesday night. A tropical system in the Pacific will cross Mexico and will bring moisture (2-2.4″) into Western South Texas by Wednesday night into Thursday. This moisture will move into the eastern portion of the viewing area by Friday increasing rain chances out west and further east Wednesday night into Friday.
Another cold front (a stronger one) will move through South Texas Friday or Saturday while storm energy moves across the region on Friday, which will increase rain chances for Friday and Saturday. There will be some lifting mechanisms (instability will be minimal) that result in thunderstorms with the possibility of some heavy rainfall for the end of the work week. Just in time for the weekend, drier but cooler conditions are to be expected.
Tropics: A well-defined, low-pressure tropical system located about 200 miles southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for the low to acquire sub-tropical characteristics through early Sunday. However, by late Sunday and Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to move slowly northwest during the next day or so and approach the North Carolina coast Saturday night and early Sunday morning. Therefore, interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. Further development over the next 48 hours to the next 5 days is in the 40 percent range. Additional information can be seen in the high seas forecast and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance plane will investigate the development on Saturday (today).
COPYRIGHT 2021 BY CROSSROADS TODAY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THIS MATERIAL MAY NOT BE PUBLISHED, BROADCAST, REWRITTEN OR REDISTRIBUTED.
"middle" - Google News
October 10, 2021 at 02:02AM
https://ift.tt/3AmrO6Y
Hot and breezy through the middle of the week - Crossroads Today
"middle" - Google News
https://ift.tt/2MY042F
Shoes Man Tutorial
Pos News Update
Meme Update
Korean Entertainment News
Japan News Update
No comments:
Post a Comment